U.S. Stock Market Faces Debt Highs and Inflation Fears: Can PCE Data Calm Investors?

Examining the Impact of PCE Inflation on Market Sentiment The U.S. stock market is navigating a stormy period as investors contend with soaring margin debt, impending trade tariffs, and lingering inflation worries. On February 27, 2025, markets plummeted after President Donald Trump revealed plans to slap tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China starting March 4, sparking widespread sell-offs, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. Nvidia, a leading AI beneficiary, delivered strong quarterly earnings but rattled investors with a revenue forecast for the next quarter that fell short of Wall Street’s high hopes, alongside an expected decline in gross profit margins. This triggered an early surge in AI stocks that swiftly turned into profit-taking, deepening losses as trading unfolded. Compounding the tension, climbing inflationary expectations and faltering consumer confidence have stoked fears of an economic slowdown, driving a broader shift toward risk aversion across the mar...